Week ending 30th January.

As you can see from the accompanying table it was broadly a positive week for global financial markets. Central‑bank meetings, geopolitical developments and a heavy rotation of tech earnings were in focus.

In the U.S., equities touched recorded highs before ending the week softer, with large‑cap technology names delivering a varied set of results. Meta reported stronger‑than‑expected fourth‑quarter earnings supported by robust advertising revenue, while automaker, Tesla posted marginally better‑than‑expected results despite its first annual revenue decline. Microsoft, however, traded sharply lower as markets focused on a modest slowdown in cloud‑growth momentum, even though the company beat quarterly expectations.

Broader sentiment cooled through the week as geopolitical tensions rose, following U.S. threats to intervene in Iran over its nuclear ambitions and its crackdown on anti‑government protests. Oil and metals advanced in response but gave back some gains as tensions eased over the weekend.

The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.5%–3.75%, as expected, following last year’s three rate cuts that brought borrowing costs to their lowest level since 2022. The majority judged current policy appropriate given stable economic activity, subdued job gains and early signs of unemployment stabilisation. Chair Jerome Powell noted that the U.S. economy enters 2026 on solid footing and that the present stance remains aligned with the Fed’s dual‑mandate objectives.

U.S. markets were reassured late in the week after President Trump nominated former Federal Reserve governor Kevin Warsh to lead the central bank when the current chair’s term ends in May. The nomination was viewed as reinforcing policy continuity and a continued data‑dependent approach at the Fed, helping stabilise rate expectations and support risk sentiment.

European equities ended higher as investors focused corporate‑earnings calendar and rising precious‑metal prices. Data revealed eurozone economy grew 1.5% in 2025, exceeding expectations as stronger investment, consumption, and exports offset political and economic uncertainty, with Germany, Spain, and Italy providing key support. Fourth‑quarter growth held steady at 0.3% quarter‑on‑quarter, pointing to a gradually improving backdrop.

In the UK, the FTSE100 outperformed its European peers, reaching record highs thanks to strong gains in the financial, energy and mining sectors.

On the international front, Britain and China signalled progress toward stabilising their economic relationship following Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s meeting with President Xi Jinping the first visit by a UK leader in eight years. The two countries agreed to strengthen cooperation in trade, investment and technology, with China introducing 30‑day visa‑free travel for UK visitors and halving tariffs on Scotch whisky. The pharmaceutical giant AstraZeneca also announced a significant long‑term investment plan.

In Japan, stocks were led lower by technology stocks amid concerns over the durability of AI‑related spending and periods of yen strength weighing on exporters. The yen remained volatile as investors looked ahead to the upcoming lower‑house election on the 8th February, with fiscal uncertainty and intervention speculation contributing to cautious sentiment across Japanese assets.

Coming up next week, markets will be watching a series of key data releases and central bank decisions. In the U.S., the ISM Manufacturing PMI is due, followed by labour‑market indicators including non‑farm payrolls and the unemployment rate later in the week. In Europe, attention will turn to the latest inflation figures for the Eurozone, as well as monetary policy meetings. The Bank of England is expected to keep rates on hold at 3.75%, while the European Central Bank is likewise anticipated to maintain its deposit rate at 2.00%.

Kate Mimnagh, Portfolio Economist

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